Yankees 10, Red Sox 7

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By , 10/13/2004 8:34 am

The Red Sox did not have a base-runner until the seventh inning and received by far the worst outing of Curt Schilling’s time as a Red Sox and still had the tying run on third base in the top of the eighth inning. It was a loss, a big loss for sure but not one without a silver lining for Sox fans.

The Yankees’ supporting stars were Hideki Matsui, Gary Sheffield and Mariano Rivera. Matsui had 5 RBI, Sheffield was on base 4 times and scored 4 runs and Rivera cooled off a ferocious Red Sox rally by recording the final 4 outs of the game. In a moving scene, Rivera appeared in the Yanks’ bullpen in the fifth inning after flying in from Panama and all of his teammates welcomed him warmly while the fans in the bleachers chanted “MA-RI-A-NO”.

But unquestionnably the night’s biggest star for the Yanks was Mike Mussina, who was downright untouchable for six innings. He was literally perfect and aside from a line drive right at Bernie Williams in the first off of Mark Bellhorn’s bat, the Red Sox didn’t even make any good contact. The Sox did get to Mussina in the seventh but by then, the damage was done. The Yanks had staked their ace to an 8-0 lead.

The Red Sox would mount a charge over the seventh and the eighth, keyed by a two-run home run by Jason Varitek and a two-run triple by David Ortiz that was about a foot from tying the game. That the Red Sox were able to put together the rally, after being dormant for much of the game, spoke not necessarily of their resolve and character as many will say, but rather of their sheer ability to put crooked numbers up quickly. The Red Sox pounded a theretofore brilliant Mussina, the new and improved Tanyon Sturtze and MLB’s best reliever, Tom Gordon – all pitchers the Yanks will be relying heavily upon all series. This was not the mop-up squad the Sox did their damage against.

There were three subtle matters that I thought tipped the balance in this game. I am never, okay rarely, one to criticize umpiring but I genuinely felt Moose’s strike zone last night was a good 3-5 inches wider on each side of the plate. Curt Schilling, who was awful – don’t get me wrong, repeatedly had balls called against him on pitches on or just outside the corners. Curtis Leskanic threw a breaking ball that, to this minute, I have absolutely no idea where the umpire could have even thought the ball missed. Meanwhile, Moose repeatedly worked the corners without fear. In back to back 3-2 called third strikes to Johnny Damon and Mark Bellhorn in the third, Mussina got calls that not one Red Sox pitcher got all night. That’s two outs instead of two baserunners with the Sox heart of the lineup coming up. Big difference. The home plate umpiring wasn’t anywhere close to solely accounting for the result last night. But it was bad, unfairly bad, and it did affect the game’s outcome.

Another factor in determining the game’s outcome was Manny Ramirez’s awful play on both Hideki Matsui’s first inning, um, double and Bernie Williams’ eighth inning triple. For Matsui’s, Ramirez has to be able to be more decisive. A balls-out effort with a bit of a dive catches that ball in the air if you ask me but I understand if you want to play it cautiously to keep the ball in front of you. What I absolutely fail to comprehend is a half-assed effort followed by some bizarre lunging backhand dance-step that looked like something out of a P-Diddy video. The play not only allowed Sheffield to score the game’s first run but also Matsui to reach second base. He would score on Bernie Williams’ ensuing ground ball through the middle. On Williams’ eighth inning shot, Ramirez just failed to get back on the ball quickly enough. If he reads it right off the bat, Ramirez catches that eye-high with the ball in front of him.

The final matter was Tito’s pitching pattern. If he was trying to win the game, it was indefensible. If he was trying to get various pitchers some work because the game was out of hand, given Boston’s offense, it was also indefensible. Curtis Leskanic’s stuff looked unhittable and yet he threw just 22 pitches. Ramiro Mendoza too looked good and yet he only stayed in the game for 17 pitches. Tim Wakefield pitched the sixth and promptly yielded two runs, no problem if it’s mop-up time but a big problem if yours is the kind of offense that can get you back in a ballgame quickly. So I don’t know what Francona was thinking. Either he stupidly implemented a wrongheaded strategy to win the game or he appallingly thought the game to be out of hand.

Nonetheless, as I said earlier, the Sox almost won a game in which they saw the best the Yanks’ bats and arms had to offer while they were about as bad as they could be for 3 innings on the pitching side and 6 on the offensive side. Tonight, the Sox will be able to “Trot” (wink) out a lefthanded laden lineup against Jon Lieber, a guy who has always struggled to get lefties out. In 2003, they hit Lieber to the tune of an .881 OPS. The Sox will counter with a guy named Pedro Martinez.

Tidbit

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By , 10/12/2004 3:57 pm

Because Curt Schilling’s season-long numbers have been far better than Mike Mussina’s, I am not sure the typical tidbits formula will do. So here’s one tidbit that I think will be a helluva lot more instructive. Mike Mussina has a 2.14 ERA since September 1st and whatever advantage the Sox have over the Yanks tonight is probably decidedly less significant than the talking heads would have you know.

If I don’t lose my mind completely before Johnny Damon steps into the box in the top half of the first tonight, it will be a minor miracle.

It’s On

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I returned late last night from a weekend in Manhattan with one of my best pals from high school and a whole slew of my college friends as well. I like to think of myself as “above the fray” but I do have a story to tell. At Brother Jimmy’s in the Upper East Side on Sunday night, wearing my Sox cap and minding my business, I was confronted by a fellow in a “1918″ cap. Utterly disinterested in talking, you know, baseball, this individual thought it fun to simply repeatedly point to his cap and remind me that the “the Bombiz always win”. So you’ll forgive me for cracking a smile when I read this Curt Schilling excerpt…

“”I’m not sure I can think of any scenario more enjoyable than making 55,000 people from New York shut up…”

Agreed.

Now, I don’t want to delve any furhter into this topic because I am sure there are plenty of New Yorkers residing up here with similar stories of buffoonery. Besides, I hate that this rivalry has been hijacked by the peripheral, extraneous crap that is constantly shoved down our throats by FOX and the like. The rivalry is not about ignorant bar room exchanges. Nor is it about Aaron Boone. It’s not about Babe Ruth and it is most certainly not about any sort of curse. Sure, those are all little tidbits, instructive from a sociological standpoint in that they are all a small part of how we got to where we now are. But really the rivalry is about the phenomenal baseball that tends to take place when these two teams have at it. This rivalry is about what goes down between the white lines, not outside of them. Unless a certain manager is sitting in the dugout, outside the lines, doing nothing when the whole world knows he should be doing, um, something. But I digress. I suppose I will just harken back to something I wrote back in April here and we will leave it at that. I can’t wait to watch the best baseball at the best ballparks during the best time of the year.

“I am not particularly interested in reading Shaughnessy shamelessly regurgitating a nonsensical curse. Nor am I all that interested in ignorant “Yankees Suck” or “Nine-Teen-Eight-Teen” chants. For me the greatness of the rivalry, currently at its peak, exists between the white lines. The Red Sox, despite their many postseason failures, have had some of the great teams in the history of baseball. This is obviously also true for the Yankees. What gives these clashes added allure is not all the peripheral hullabaloo but rather the extraordinarily high level of baseball that is played when these two historic franchises are at their best.”

Back with some starting pitching “tidbits” later on.


An Evening in the Bronx

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By , 10/11/2004 9:30 pm

Isn’t this kinda what we’ve been waiting for?

Tomorrow starts the third ever American League Championship Series between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. The New Yorkers have taken the last two 4-1 in 1999, and again last year. I would tell you the game count, but I blacked out sometime in October and didn’t really come to until mid-November.

I do know it had something to do with Aaron Boone, as Fox showed the celebration 3,093 times already this season, including during a Mets/Phillies game.

There is no Aaron Boone this year, replaced by some fellow who used to play with Washington Senators II. Also gone from this drama is Todd Walker, Nomar Garciaparra, John Burkett, Roger Clemens, Andy Pettitte, and David Wells. For you humor buffs out there, Don Zimmer will also be absent, unfortunately.

This year, for the first time since 1999, the Red Sox won the season series, 11-8. They swept a plucky Angels team (plucky is a nice way to say the team won despite not having a whole lot of talent. The Twins were also plucky), and are coming into the series scoring 9, 8, and 8 runs in their three games. Sox have a healthy amount of momentum.

The Yankees also have momentum, beating a plucky Twins team (see above) three straight after losing to Minnesota Wunderkind Johan Santana (of course the Twins were Washington Sentors I. I need to think of a way to get the Expos mentioned in this post). The Yankees had a little bit less success scoring runs, posting tallies of 0, 7, 8, and 6 runs.

In terms of tactical acumen, the Red Sox haven’t successfully sacrificed yet, and are 3/3 in stolen base attempts (all Johnny Damon), and has issued one intentional walk (to Vlad Guerrero). The Yankees have bunted twice, been successful in four of six stolen base tries. They haven’t been sufficiently frightened by a hitter to put him on the bases yet.

Projected lineups…
Johnny Damon 467/500/533
Mark Bellhorn 091/375/091
Manny Ramirez 385/375/769
David Ortiz 545/688/1000
Trot Nixon 250/400/250
Kevin Millar 300/364/600
Jason Varitek 167/333/417
Orlando Cabrera 154/267/231
Bill Mueller 333/385/333

Derek Jeter 316/350/526
Alex Rodriguez 421/476/737
Gary Sheffield 222/333/444
Hideki Matsui 412/476/647
Bernie Williams 278/316/500
Jorge Posada 222/222/222
Ruben Sierra 167/286/417
John Olerud 214/313/357
Miguel Cairo 214/313/286

AS it looks right now, the pitching matchups look to be:
Schilling vs. Mussina
Martinez vs. Lieber
Arroyo vs. Brown
Wakefield vs. Somebody
Schilling vs. Mussina
Martinez vs. Lieber
Arroyo vs. Brown

As for my take:
I have a bias for the Red Sox. I try to look past that bias when I look at players and teams, simply because there is no real point to reading someone just rant and rave about how I love my Sawx.

That said, the Red Sox have been really running at full speed since the second week in August. The only time they really slipped up is that last trip to the Bronx. I say it doesn’t matter. The Red Sox have the better offense, and the better starting pitching. They just beat up on a team that has a very good bullpen.

This year, I say I don’t black out in October. Sox take the Yankees in 6.

Let’s get it started…

Game 3 Tidbits

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By , 10/8/2004 2:55 pm


Bronson Arroyo

VORP: 24.7 (85th)
ERA: 4.03 (36th)
K: 142 (40th)
WHIP: 1.22 (18th)
OPS Against: .714 (30th)

There really are no Angels that have enough at-bats against Bronson to lend any sort of real insight into how they match up.

Kelvim Escobar

VORP: 53.2 (14th)
ERA: 3.93 (30th)
K: 191 (10th)
WHIP: 1.29 (28th)
OPS Against: .701 (26th)

Sox Hitters Escobar Owns:

Kevin Millar: .125/.222/.125 (18 PA’s)
Johnny Damon: .150/.227/.175 (44 PA’s)
David Ortiz: .133/.235/.133 (17 PA’s)

Sox that Have Had Success Against Escobar:

Trot Nixon: .383/.484/.583 (31 PA’s)
Bill Mueller: .417/.417/.667 (12 PA’s)

An anxious, enthusiastic, optimistic and thunderstick-free crowd will be on hand to welcome home the Sox after a wildly successful two games in the OC. Bronson Arroyo has earned this opportunity and I think he will pitch well. But better than one of the truly underrated starters in baseball? We’ll see.

Enjoy.

Red Sox 8, Angels 3

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By , 10/7/2004 8:36 am

Nothing but positives from last night’s game and a great manifestation of both the teams’ respective offensive philosophies and abilities and why Boston’s is the far greater offense. While the Angels aggressively tried to sacrifice bunt and steal all night, they rarely succeeded in doing so. With respect to sacrificing, typical analysis discusess the merits of giving up an out to advance a runner (there aren’t many) without even factoring in that simply calling for a sacrifice does not in itself guarantee its success. Anaheim had a runner thrown out stealing and badly botched two sacrifice attempts – once in a tie game in the fifth as Chone Figgins popped his bunt up to Bill Mueller. While the Angels hit some singles and tried to manufacture some runs, the Red Sox were patient, opportunistic and powerful at the plate. The Red Sox hit to the tune of a .333/.442/.472 line while Anaheim hit just .219/.265/.219.

Pedro was very good. I thought he had his best fastball of the season, consistently throwing 94-95 MPH, and I even thought that he wasn’t using it enough from the outset. Whether he was fooling around with low and away sliders to Glaus or throwing David Eckstein breaking balls, it just didn’t make sense to me given how foolish he made the likes of Garret Anderson and Chone Figgins look with the heater. Nonetheless, it was as good as Pedro has looked this year, just sub-vintage. Hey, it’s tough letting go.

This game for me accentuated every difference between the Red Sox and the Angels. With respect to offensive ability, the Angels were exposed as a singles machine that struggles to work the walk. Meanwhile the Red Sox hit, walked and slugged their way to eight runs. On the starting pitching front, their 2nd best starter faced Boston’s and it was no contest. Colon deserves credit for battling and wiggling out of some dicey situations but his 7 hits, 3 walks and 3 strikeouts in 6 innings were probably not quite what Mike Scioscia had in mind. And finally the bullpens were a great reminder of why the talking heads, and I guess myself if you look at my preview, need to dig a little deeper. Francisco Rodriguez, as dominant as he is, if he faced the Sox all year and say, Mike Timlin faced the Angels all year, would probably end up looking similar on the stat sheet. The point is that pitching does not take place in a vacuum and that you have to face, you know, hitters of varying abilities. When looking at this short series, it is instructive to note that while Anaheim’s bullpen is doubtless better than Boston’s, it is probably only better than the Sox’s bullpen by a similar margin as the Sox’s lineup is greater than Anaheim’s. So aren’t we talking about a wash?

This thing’s not over yet. The Angels still haven’t sent their best starter to the hill. But last night was a clear manifestation of the Red Sox’s superiority.

Red Sox 4, Angels 3

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What an inning. Mueller leads off with a hit and is promptly pinch run for. I agree with the move because Youkilis is not much of a downgrade. This is not Luis Rivas for Justin Morneau. Damon grounds into a FC but steals second. After Bellhorn works a walk, Bengie Molina fails to block a slightly errant K-Rod wild pitch and both runners advance. Manny flies a ball deep enough to score Damon from third. Man is K-Rod tough.

Signing Off

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Timlin just struck out Vlad. I am watching the remainder in bed. Be back in the morning with my thoughts on the game’s result.

Sox 3, Angels 3

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An absolutely enormous home run by Varitek. Impressive though the quickness with which he applies his shin pads may be, turns out the home run just did a little more for me.

Frickin’ Berman.

Angels 3, Sox 1

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Inexcusable miscommunication between Manny and Cabrera followed by a sharp single by Eckstein on a good Martinez breaking ball. Figgins popped a bunt up and Pedro hit Erstad to load the bases. With the thundersticks-a-smackin’, Vlad laced a single into right-centerfield that plated two runs. Anderson roped a ball right at Millar who caught it and stepped on first to double up Vlad.

A Job Well Done, Petey

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Sets the Halos down in order, finishing his night off with a strikeout of Chone Figgins and a point to the heavens. I have my concerns about turning it over to Timlin a night after he pitched two meaningless innings. Foulke for two with tomorrow’s off day? We’ll see.

Hittin’ it Hard Sans Results

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By , 10/6/2004 11:50 pm

Millar, Damon, Bellhorn, Cabrera…all hitting balls hard with nothing to show for it. Hold the line, Petey.

For Those Keeping Score…

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That’s two outs Mike Scioscia has handed Pedro.

‘Tek throws out DaVanon.

Edit: That’s three thanks to Fig’s bunt pop up.

Gardenhire Sucks

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Joe Nathan throws 53 pitches for the Twins as the Yanks come back to win, 7-6.

Bottom 2nd

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- Pedro has his good fastball tonight. Wouldn’t mind seeing him go to it a little more.

- DaVanon hits a bleeder to Cabrera’s right after a Troy Glaus walk. Damn. First and second, nobody out.

- McPherson sticks out his bat and loops one into left. Troy Glaus scores. Anaheim still hasn’t hit a ball hard tonight.

- We can all be grateful they are still playing smallball in Anaheim. Molina botches the sacrifice and Pedro makes the 1-5 putout.

- Please Pedro, go after the Ecksteins of the world. 2 and 0.

- After an Eckstein flyout, Pedro sets Fig down on a high fastball. I get to call Fig “Fig” because Ryan used to call Fig “Fig” when Ryan was calling games for the Carolina Mudcats and Fig played for them.

This is getting tedious…if I have what I think is something worth sharing, I will. But I need to set the laptop aside for a minute.

Shannon Stewart hit a 12th inning home run for Minnesota by the way. The Twins lead 6-5.

Top 2nd

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- Two Out rally…Mueller and Damon hit back to back singles. Let’s go Bellhorn.

- Bases loaded again, Manny. Do your thing, pal.

- Ugh…two feet. Ok…it’s 2 and 2 now. Colon doesn’t wanna go 3-2. Ball 4. Atta Baby, Manny! You know what, yeah, Meals’ zone has been tight but not one pitch has proven to be a bad call according to K-Zone. Of course Berman’s wise-ass laugh on any ball within a foot of the zone doesn’t help. Scioscia’s gonna snap.

- I don’t even believe what I just saw. Bases loaded, Bellhorn picked off by Molina up with Ortiz up. He’s our boy and all here at Dewey’s House but WTF?????

Bottom 1st

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Pedro gave up on Vlad on a 3-2 pitch and walked him with two outs and nobody on. I am sure he knows he owns Garret Anderson…

…Um, yup I guess he does.

Top 1st

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- It appears as though there may have been a bonfire at 2nd base before the game. If I can make out the action through the smoke, I will report it.

- Berman tells me the 0-2 pitch dropped in front of Vlad – single by Damon. By the way, Berman said he expected a 7-6 kinda game. Quick, go bet the under.

- Oppo single by Bellhorn. Incidentally, how fat is Colon? It really is remarkable. Johanna’s almost asleep.

- Manny’s down 0-2. Not sure I can take this close-up of Colon all night. What a slob! Manny fights off a 1-2 pitch that Vlad cannot get to. Vlad really looks terrible moving around right now. Sutcliffe just told us the Angels have to play better to win. Strike 3 with a nasty inside fastball.

- David Ortiz and his .356 OPS vs. Colon steps in. He walks on a bunch of close pitches.

- What a crap at-bat by Nixon with the bases loaded and less than one out. Two outs, Millar coming up.

- Thundersticks absolutely blow. Millar lays off a brutal 2-2 slider. 3-2, two outs bases loaded and Chris Berman is beside himself. Millar hits Ball 4 to David Eckstein for 6-3 putout. Eckstein managed the toss without a cutoff man.

Sigh.

Live from Boston’s North End

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On the couch with my roommates Mike and Ryan and my girlfriend Johanna (a still inconsolable Cubs fan). First time live blogging and as long as Blogger cooperates, should be fun.

The Yanks and Twins are tied in the eighth inning after the Twins scored two runs in the top half of the inning. I think it is pretty clear the Yanks have the advantage the rest of the way as Ron Gardenhire thought it would be a good idea to replace his team’s best hitter and gain what was a marginal (at best) short term advantage. He pinch ran for Justin Morneau, who was representing the go-ahead run on first base with Mariano Rivera on the mound. It’s the type of move that always tends to rear its head at a crucial spot later in a ballgame. We’ll see if it does.

First pitch in thirteen minutes.

Tidbits

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Pedro Martinez

VORP: 51.2 (16th in MLB)
ERA: 3.90 (29th)
K: 227 (6th)
WHIP: 1.17 (12th)
OPS Against: .698 (25th)

Pedro Owns…

Bengie Molina: .125/.125/.125 (16 PA)
Garret Anderson: .212/.235/.273 (34 PA)

Halos that Have Had Success vs. Pedro…

Vladimir Guerrero: .273/.400/.636 (14 PA)
Jeff DeVanon: .250/.308/.583 (13 PA)

Bartolo Colon

Vorp: 22.2 (103rd)
ERA: 5.01(72nd)
K: 158 (26th)
WHIP: 1.37 (48th)
OPS Against: .794 (69th)

Colon Owns…

Bill Mueller: .091/.083/.364 (11 PA)
David Ortiz: .125/.200/.156 (35 PA)

Sox that Have Had Success vs. Colon…

Manny Ramirez: .350/.409/.700 (22 PA)
Kevin Millar: .261/.370/.652 (27 PA)

Edit: For what it’s worth, Doug Mientkiewicz has an .887 career OPS in 35 plate appearences against Colon. While it may seem ludicrous to sit an MVP candidate, given Ortiz’s struggles against Colon, it would be both bold and defensible to DH Millar, sit Ortiz and give Minky the start at first. Just sayin’…

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