Chicago White Sox 2007 Preview

2006: 90-72, 3rd in AL Central
Projected Lineup:
1. LF Scott Podsednik
2. 3B Joe Crede
3. DH Jim Thome
4. 1B Paul Konerko
5. RF Jermaine Dye
6. C A.J. Pierzynski
7. 2B Tadahito Iguchi
8. CF Darin Erstad
9. SS Juan Uribe/Alex Cintron
Projected Rotation:
Jose Contreras
Jon Garland
Mark Buehrle
Javier Vazquez
John Danks
Projected Closer:
Bobby Jenks
Outlook:
Thank God for Ozzie Guillen.
Honestly, if it wasn’t for Crazy Ozzie ordering beanings, tossing around insensitive slurs, and pledging allegiance to Hugo Chavez, this version of the Pale Hose would be one of the most boring congregations of professional athletes ever assembled outside of the PGA Tour. They really need to spice things up a bit. Maybe Paul Konerko could grow a 6-inch beard like Jeff Bagwell (or Jim “The Anvil” Neidhart, for you fans of the 1980’s squared circle)? Maybe Jermaine Dye could start breaking bats over his knee when he strikes out? Maybe Scott Podsednik could start producing runs? Meh. At least Juan Uribe is trying to spice things up a by “letting his gat go pop-pop-pop”.
While I can bemoan their style, I certainly can’t bemoan their results. After winning their first championship since Shoeless Joe Jackson roamed the outfield, the Sox had a decent season in 2006, winning 90 games (4 more than the real Sox) but finishing behind the surprising Tigers and Twins. Were it not for the Detroit team shocking the league with their pennant run, the Sox would have likely returned to the playoffs in 2006.
Their strengths? The long-ball (1st in the American League with 236) and some durable starting pitching (their 5 starters averaged 206 innings pitched). Four of those five pitchers will return, the exception being Freddy Garcia, who was traded away for Gavin Floyd and Gio Gonzalez.
None of the South Side starters are really going to overwhelm you. Their best pitcher is probably Old Man Forkball himself, Jose Contreras. Behind the most well received illegal alien in history are a couple of workhorses who should continue to benefit from solid run support: Mark Buehrle and Jon Garland. Buehrle’s K rate is declining, but he still has outstanding command and durability, and he still has the most misspelled last name this side of Joel Pineiro. Javier Vasquez, on the other hand, still possesses the killer stuff, and still frustrates fans and fantasy teams everywhere, by continuing to yield large amounts of extra-base hits to go along with his great peripherals. He did give up less HRs at Comiskey (that’s right, Comiskey), and could conceivably be the best pitcher in this rotation in 2007.
An interesting wildcard is the new kid in town, John Danks. Never before having thrown an MLB pitch, Danks has already been anointed a starting pitcher by Guillen, after having a decent (but by no means great) season between AA and AAA last year. The kid will be put to the test, facing some very tough teams on a regular basis in the AL Central. He might hold down the fort and pick up some wins behind a steady offense, but if you’re looking for a Rookie of the Year candidate, you might consider looking elsewhere. The team also has former Phillies prospect Gavin Floyd along with knuckleballer Charlie Haeger waiting in the wings, should a starter go down or should Danks perform terribly.
On to the bullpen, where GM Kenny Williams has added strength by taking part in one of the most-loved activities in baseball: robbing Dayton Moore. Kenny went in and stole young promising lefty Andy Sisco from Moore, and he isn’t even a lock to make the team. The Sox have several young hard throwing relievers to handle the late innings. Closer Bobby Jenks returns to the pivotal role, along with the cannon-armed Mike MacDougal, one of the league’s most feared pitchers. David Aardsma, the former high-profile draft pick, has come into his own as a solid middle reliever, along with occupying Page 1 of Baseball Encyclopedias everywhere. Nick Masset is yet another right-hander who can blow hitters away with his high-90’s heat, while 30-year-old lefty Matt Thornton provides effective relief against hitters from both sides of the plate. The final bullpen spot will likely go to left-hander Boone Logan, leaving the towering Sisco to work on his command in AAA.
As we take a look at the White Sox offense, I’ll start with one of baseball’s more interesting stories: Juan Uribe. The SS may or may not have shot someone in the Dominican Republic last fall. The trial has been postponed until July, so the Sox should have his services until at least that time. Should Uribe need to go to court or the clink, the versatile Alex Cintron should step in to the role. Cintron might actually be more productive at the position, so perhaps Sox fans should hope for a guilty verdict. Tadahito Iguchi proved to be one of the most productive offensive second basemen in the league in 2006, and third baseman Joe Crede broke out with a .506 slugging percentage. At first base, the Sox have the quietest 40 HR guy in baseball history, Paul Konerko. The Providence native is healthy, only 32 years old, and coming off of his best season. He has been crushing the ball this spring, and all indications point towards another excellent year. Newly acquired DH Jim Thome was a monster in his first year in Chicago last season, belting 42 HRs and posting an OPS+ of 156. He is a remarkably consistent hitter, but has been slowed by the back problems which are obligatory for big guys his age. Those PA and G totals will continue to dwindle over the coming years, but he is still one of the most feared hitters in the game when he laces them on.
While Chicago’s infield looks to be at least well above average, their outfield paints a different picture. We have Jermaine Dye, who was one of the best hitters in baseball in 2006, returning to RF. The gargantuan slugger is in his contract year, so he will have some tangible motivation for having another healthy, productive season. However, 2006 was, by far, his best year in the majors, and he is now 33 years old. Do not bank on a repeat performance near the top of the MVP voting columns, but he can perhaps be counted on for something in the ballpark of .280/.350/.500. The rest of the outfield is a vast wasteland of offensive impotence. Darin Erstad will get most of the time in CF. I won’t spend any time ripping on him (Rob Neyer should take care of that for me), but the most Chicago can hope for is a modest improvement over Brian Anderson’s abortion of a season last year. Scott Podsednik, out until mid-April, will be spelled by backup Rob Mackowiak until he is ready. Podsednik will continue to be one of the most unproductive MLB starting outfielders, but he can, of course, steal a base or two. AJ Pierzynski, 30, returns after a stellar season behind the plate. The most hated catcher in baseball will have a solid backup in longtime Devil Ray starter Toby Hall.
Chicago is a team which should benefit from a few things: a durable, consistent rotation (a rare thing in today’s game), a lineup dotted with patient boppers, and an electric bullpen. With the Detroit Tigers looking at a probable decline, Chicago might take advantage and earn a few more wins. Then again, they still need to deal with Minnesota and Cleveland.
Prediction: 90-72
March 26th, 2007 at 3:51 pm
Logan isn’t the only lefty in the ‘pen. They’ve still got that fireballer Thornton, right?
March 26th, 2007 at 7:57 pm
Steve.
You are correct. Totally forgot about Matt Thornton. Fixing now.
Thanks for the feedback.
-JD