Comments on: A Monster at Fenway?

By: Mitch

Mitch — Thu, 17 Dec 2009 00:19:47 +0000

Cool analysis! Let's simply wait and see for the excitement these changes would bring. Thanks. By the way, Premio Foods is one great company who has free goodies and recipes to cool sports fans out there. Enjoy!

By: Mike

Mike — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 21:12:05 +0000

Interestingly, the folks at FanGraphs wrote a column a few weeks ago that actually argues that not only is Cameron a better value than Bay, but he’s a better player: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/bay-vs-cameron

By: Jimmy

Jimmy — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 16:57:22 +0000

Mark, I agree with your overall point that saving money (by itself) does not win games. A team that spends $220 million will always have an inherent advantage over a team that spends $120 million. However, when you factor in the constraint of a fixed budget, that is where cost-efficiency becomes important. Really, there is only one “Country B” in the league. The other 29 teams are “Country A” and try to get by on a little guile wherever they can.

I think you nail it in your second paragraph. Remember, the Sox still need one more corner infielder.

By: MarkB

MarkB — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 16:35:05 +0000

A well-known military analogy is in order. Country A produces weapons that are of average accuracy and average power at a very low cost – they are high-value systems. Country B produces weapons that are of high accuracy and high power at very high cost – they are very low-value systems. In a war, Country As powerful, accurate, and financially wasteful weapons destroy country B. This is a classic example of the value of output over cost-per-unit.

Unless the Sox can take the money not paid to Jason Bay’s inferior replacement, and use it to replace Lowell at third by a player who both improves on Lowell’s production AND makes up for the loss in the outfield, then it’s a net loss. As it is, being more cost-efficient per player alone does not help the team. If so, teams with the smallest payrolls could win the World Series each year. They can’t – production wins over financial efficiency.

By: The House That Dewey Built » A Monster at Fenway? VX China

The House That Dewey Built » A Monster at Fenway? VX China — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 16:22:42 +0000

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