Generally, a hitter’s BABIP (batting average on balls in play) will hover around the same rate year over year, gradually moving towards the mean over the course of an increasing sample of plate appearances. While several Red Sox hitters have struggled mightily in the early-going, there is reason to believe that they will turn things around based on the fact that they haven’t been striking out at an abnormally high rate.
Let’s take a look at four struggling Red Sox hitters, and how their 2011 BABIP compares to their rates from the previous four years:
As you can see, all four of these guys have had awful luck in terms of batted balls finding fielders’ gloves at a much higher rate than they are used to. Eventually, these batted balls will find gaps, and more runs will be scored.