Good Morning! Yeah, They Lost.
I happened to turn on the radio early this morning, around quarter to five or so, and I hear a caricature of a Boston sports fan call in to the JT The Brick Show (ugh…) and demand that Terry Francona “get rid of Daisuke Matsuzaka”. He also mentioned that despondent Los Angeles Lakers fans need to “put on their brass knuckles and go get it”, whatever the hell that means. Thank you, JT The Brick, for propagating the Saturday Night Live parody of Bostonians as reality.
Even though most of us possess at least a small amount of critical thinking skills unlike the caller mentioned above, I feel the need to defend Dice-K here. After pitching well in three consecutive outings and leaving prematurely due to a minor injury in his most recent start, Matsuzaka was thrown into the 13th inning of a rain-soaked 7-hour marathon, and promptly surrendered the game to the Angels. Now, one thing we learned about Matsuzaka is that he loves routine…his routine. If there’s one starter that you do not want to put in a crazy situation like the one last night, it’s him. It just so unfortunately happened that he was the only viable choice.
Top 5 Goats
|D Matsuzaka||-39.5%||Giving up runs in extra innings: never good for WPA|
|D Pedroia||-31.0%||0 for 6 with 4 strikeouts. Has he ever gone 0 for 6 before this?|
|D Wheeler||-30.4%||Gave up a 700 foot HR to Vernon Wells|
|D Ortiz||-23.2%||0 for 4 with a walk, 4 men left on base|
|M Cameron||-20.8%||Ran into a big out at 3rd|
A mathematically inclined person might balk at these numbers (how can the Red Sox have a 145% chance of losing?), but keep two things in mind:
- Total WPA doesn’t necessarily add to 100%, since it’s taking a snapshot of the odds of winning at the time of each at-bat, and…
- Several Red Sox players had positive WPA (for example: Josh Beckett had a WPA around 25% or so).
Beckett was good again, and likely would have pitched deep into the game were it not for the rain delay.
Quote of the Day
“When I showed up today, I didn’t think I’d be talking to you guys at three in the morning. And if I did, I wish we’d have won.”
- Terry Francona, to reporters after the game
- AA – After losing again last night, prospect Stolmy Pimentel is now 0 and 4 with a 7.06 ERA.
- You live by the Monster, you die by the Monster: Kevin Youkilis hit a ball in the 12th inning that would have been a walk-off home run in literally every other baseball stadium on the planet.